The Jenny Beth Show

Election Eve: Polls Say Democrats. Late Deciders Say Republicans | Scott Presler

Episode Summary

Election Eve, and the final New York Times and Siena College polls show Democrats ahead in all seven Senate races that will decide the majority. Buried in the same survey is a number that did not make the headline: voters who made up their minds in the last month favor Republicans by nine points. Less than twenty-four hours before the polls open, guest host Robert McNeily, in for Jenny Beth Martin, spends the hour with Scott Presler, founder of Early Vote Action, filming from Congressman Scott Perry's district outside Harrisburg with twelve full-time staff knocking doors. Presler explains which half of that poll matches the doors, why Republicans should run toward President Trump's agenda, and the affordability message for the last day. He reports the power outages that closed two polling places in Republican areas of Maricopa County, Arizona, walks through what a voter should do if a precinct runs out of paper ballots, and gives Pennsylvania's numbers: more Republicans have voted by mail this year than in the entire 2022 general election, and 59,000 ballots are still unreturned, due at the county elections office by 8 PM on Election Day. Then the margins that answer anyone who says one vote does not matter: 187, 653, 6, 312, and 537. Jenny Beth Martin joins at the close from Scott Perry's district before heading back out to knock doors. Learn more at teapartypatriots.org and jennybethshow.com.

Episode Notes

Guest: Scott Presler is the founder of Early Vote Action, the voter registration and turnout organization whose team registered more than 50,000 new voters in Pennsylvania during the 2024 cycle. He has spent this cycle working alongside Tea Party Patriots Action on election integrity from Maine to Arizona to Alaska, and joins from Congressman Scott Perry's district outside Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, where Early Vote Action has twelve full-time staff knocking doors.

 

Guest host: Robert McNeily, Director of Broadcasting and Grassroots Engagement at Tea Party Patriots Action, hosts in for Jenny Beth Martin, who joins at the close from Pennsylvania's Tenth District.

 

Key topics:

 

• Less than twenty-four hours until the polls open: the Republican who has not voted yet is your job today

• More than 54 million Americans have already voted, a midterm record, which means the election is decided by the people who have not

• Congresswoman Haley Stevens endorsed Republican Mike Rogers for Senate; her chief of staff quit and the Michigan Democratic Party cut off her voter-file access

• The final New York Times and Siena College polls: Democrats ahead in all seven deciding Senate races, and voters who decided in the last month favoring Republicans by nine

• Two Dan Sullivans on Alaska's Senate ballot, and the Minnesota election official who explained how to vote without saying the word citizen

• No phone number to call this week: the House and Senate are home until November 9, so the action is on your doorstep

• Pennsylvania's Tenth District: Dauphin, York, and Cumberland counties, twelve full-time staff, and a map drawn to beat Scott Perry

• Election integrity on tomorrow's ballot in Alaska, California, Nevada, and Arizona, and why Presler calls them the SAVE America Act at the state level

• Did Republicans finally embrace early voting? Presler on who the 54 million are

• Power outages close two polling places in Republican areas of Maricopa County, and the long lines of 2022

• protectthevote.com: click Fraud, and the report goes straight to the Republican National Committee

• Rural Texas counties could run out of paper ballots; what a voter should do if the precinct runs out

• Presler's Pennsylvania slate, and the four Republican House seats to protect

• More Pennsylvania Republicans have voted by mail this year than in the entire 2022 general election; 59,000 ballots are still out

• Do not mail it now: a Pennsylvania ballot must reach the county elections office by 8 PM on Election Day

• The one-hour ask: go through your phone and call or text everyone you know who voted Republican in 2024

• Will Pennsylvania be called on election night? Presler says probably before midnight

• Truckers, moms of seven, pilots, and the Poconos commute: why vote early next time

• Every vote counts: John Duarte lost by 187, Michelle Steel by 653, Mariannette Miller-Meeks won by 6, Al Franken by 312, Florida in 2000 by 537

• Why Trump's base is more loyal to him than to the party, and why Presler says run toward his agenda

• Speaker Johnson and Mark Levin say ignore the polls; Presler's affordability message instead

• Robert McNeily on two weeks of civil unrest abroad, from France and Poland to Brazil, as America votes

• Jenny Beth Martin joins from Scott Perry's district, back out to knock doors with Presler after the show

• Breaking at the close: the two Maricopa polling places are back up and running

• If you see a problem at the polls, report it at protectthevote.com, where attorneys are standing by

 

Timestamps:

 

00:00 — Cold open: less than twenty-four hours until the polls open

00:43 — Robert McNeily in for Jenny Beth Martin: one third of the Senate and every House seat

01:07 — 54 million already voted, a midterm record

01:24 — Haley Stevens endorses Mike Rogers, and her party throws her out

02:15 — The final Times and Siena polls, and the number that did not make the headline

02:34 — Two Dan Sullivans in Alaska; the Minnesota official who never said citizen

03:02 — No phone number this week: the action is on your doorstep

03:16 — Scott Presler, founder of Early Vote Action

04:24 — Pennsylvania's Tenth: Dauphin, York, and Cumberland, and a map drawn to beat Scott Perry

05:34 — What Michigan teaches: the Democrats push people out

06:46 — Early Vote Action and Tea Party Patriots Action: election integrity from Maine to Alaska

07:31 — Alaska: end ranked choice voting

07:58 — California: proof of citizenship and photo ID

08:17 — Nevada: photo ID

08:35 — Arizona: the SAVE America Act at the state level

09:23 — 54 million early votes: did Republicans listen?

09:49 — Both sides are turning out; the Republican numbers are new

10:32 — Maricopa County: power outages close polling places in Republican areas

11:11 — Longer lines, and what happened in 2022

11:47 — protectthevote.com: click Fraud, and the report goes to the Republican National Committee

12:32 — In line at 6:55? You can still vote

13:32 — Jenny Beth Martin is en route to Scott Perry's district

13:52 — Rural Texas could run out of paper ballots

14:09 — Immediately go to protectthevote.com, film it, take pictures

15:08 — Presler's Pennsylvania slate

15:39 — Trump's 30 rallies, and the Republicans who still have not voted

16:25 — More Pennsylvania Republicans voted by mail than in all of 2022

16:40 — 59,000 ballots still unreturned

17:45 — Do not mail it: deliver it to the county elections office by 8 PM

18:00 — One free hour: what is the most useful thing you can do?

18:47 — Go through your phone book

19:38 — Will Pennsylvania be called on election night?

20:23 — Republicans who only vote on Election Day are...

20:49 — Truckers, moms of seven, pilots: why vote early

22:02 — Any problem tomorrow: protectthevote.com

22:13 — The guy who says his vote does not matter

22:40 — John Duarte lost by 187 votes

22:55 — Michelle Steel lost by 653

23:11 — Mariannette Miller-Meeks won by 6

23:22 — Al Franken won by 312

23:49 — Florida 2000: 537

24:16 — The polls say one thing; the late deciders say another

24:54 — Democrats ahead in all seven Senate races

25:21 — Late deciders favor Republicans by nine points

26:03 — Trump's base is more loyal to Trump than to the party

26:52 — Put my agenda on the ballot: run toward Trump

27:10 — Speaker Johnson and Mark Levin say ignore the polls. Is that the right message?

27:42 — Look the voter in the eye: life is hard right now

28:23 — Gas, oil, and electricity

28:51 — Housing, health care, and overcrowded schools

30:07 — California gas prices before the Iranian conflict

30:47 — Civil unrest abroad as America votes

33:11 — Jenny Beth Martin joins from Scott Perry's district

33:45 — Back out door to door with Scott

34:22 — Why there is nobody like Scott Presler

35:25 — Early Vote Action and Tea Party Patriots Action: the partnership continues

35:42 — Breaking: the Maricopa polling places are back up

36:09 — Ending on protectthevote.com

36:24 — There are attorneys staffing that

36:52 — Make sure you vote, and get your friends and family to vote

37:03 — Like and subscribe

 

Links mentioned:

 

protectthevote.com

jennybethshow.com

teapartypatriots.org